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(@Melanie)
Posts: 1
 

I'm traveling to St. John this weekend for a week and was wondering how accurate the weather forecast is for next week? Weather.com isn't being very nice. Scattered showers every day! Is the weather pretty unpredictable, like it'll rain for like 10 minutes and then clear up later? Oh please say yes, I'm praying for sun! Thanks!

 
Posted : March 3, 2005 12:26 am
(@chris-at-work)
Posts: 1138
Noble Member
 

Our experience has been showers seldom last more than 10-15 minutes, might not occur on all parts of any particular island and may occur during the late evening when nobody cares but it all means the 'forcast' was coreect.
30% chance of rain means 70% percent chance of sunshine.

Bottom line...don't let forcasts predict the success of your vacation.

 
Posted : March 3, 2005 9:42 am
(@marty-on-stt)
Posts: 1514
Noble Member
 

Rarely do we have an overcast day. "Scattered showers" means just that...scattered. As an example, the town of Charlotte Amalie on STT might be getting a downpour, but Magens Beach might not even know it....and they are only about a mile apart, as the crow flies! (seagull flies?)

I think the weather guys (or girls...don't wanna be sexist!) only spend about 10 minutes writing up the forecasts here for the next month or so and then just keep re-posting them. Notice how they are almost always the same? Check this site:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov

and add/copy&paste this to the end: /ifps/MapClick.php?MapType=3&site=sju&CiTemplate=1&map.x=315&map.y=110

50% chance means you might or might not get rained on at some point. 20% means you most likely won't, but somewhere it will. 70% means it WILL rain somewhere on the island.

The most accurate way to predict the weather here is to go outside, face East...open eyes. See rain? That means it's gonna rain. See no clouds? Gonna be sunny. Now look straight up. See the way the...UGH!!! Damn seagulls! Right in my eye!! Dammit!

 
Posted : March 3, 2005 10:28 am

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